Bill Roggio at The Fourth Rail is reporting that al Qaeda and Taliban camps in North and South Waziristan have emptied, and that now they’re expanding into settled districts of the Northwest Frontier Province. They are said to be reorganizing in both Afghanistan and Pakistan for a major fight.
The Asia Times’ Syed Saleem Shahzad reported that there were 29 camps in all, and all but one have been dismantled.
While The Fourth Rail sources verify the camps’ existence, they noted the camps have not been dismantled, but the infrastructure is still in place. “The physical infrastructure (camps and the like) still exist, they haven’t been dismantled. They’ve just been abandoned or are being operated by skeleton crews,” the senior military intelligence source said.
It could be that they’re laying low out of fear of a U.S. attack.
The al Qaeda and Taliban personnel abandoned the 28 camps after “the US had presented Islamabad with a dossier detailing the location of the bases as advance information on likely US targets,” Mr. Shahzad reported. “All other leading Taliban commanders, including Sirajuddin Haqqani, Gul Bahadur, Baitullah Mehsud and Haji Omar, have disappeared,” said Mr. Shahzad.
At any ate, the emptying of the camps is cause for concern:
“We don’t know where they went to or who was in the camps,” the military officer told The Fourth Rail.. “They are well trained, these aren’t your entry level jihadis. They are dangerous.”
“This is one of the reasons that we are worried about a major CONUS [Continental United States] attack,” the senior military intelligence source told The Fourth Rail, noting the recent influx of news of terror cells attempting to penetrate the US. “If they evacuated their bases, they almost certainly did so out of fear of more than just the Pakistani army.”
Meanwhile, The Fourth Rail also reports that the US military intelligence community is
“urgently assessing how secure Pakistan’s nuclear weapons would be in the event President Gen. Pervez Musharraf were replaced.”
H/T: Hotair
INTERESTING:
We were speculating in the Comments section what Musharraf’s chances were of being re-elected.
Ahmed Rashid, a Pakistani journalist, believes that Musharraf’s days are over. Here’s what Rashid, the author of “Taliban” and “Jihad: The Rise of Militant Islam in Central Asia,” had to say a Washington Post.Com article:
The United States needs to help bring about a peaceful and fair political transition in Islamabad before it again insists that the army battle al-Qaeda. Musharraf needs to shed his uniform, hold elections and declare that he is not a candidate for the presidency. Washington then needs to help ensure that the new elected leadership works with the army to mobilize public support for the struggle against extremism.
Neither the army nor Bhutto can battle the extremists alone and save Pakistan from meltdown. Bhutto understands this, but the army still does not. Bush has to accept that his ally’s political days are over — that it is time to stop equating Musharraf with Pakistan.











August, 11, 2007 at 10:20 pm
I don’t swear, but when I read the first few sentences, my mind went: “Oh, [insert s-word].”
Not a good sign.
At least previously, we could assume only one geopolitical area was a major region of concern. Now we have to worry about the entire north-west area. And the Pashtuns (who reside in the north-west) are inordinately supportive of Islamist terrorists. So, taking out the Taliban and al-Qa’idah could mean a real mini civil war.
*sigh*
Oh well.
Regarding Pakistan’s nuclear program: Pakistan and The United States operate, as far as I understand, under a secret but closely-followed understanding that The United States shall have unrestricted access to all information regarding Pakistan’s nuclear program for determining the stability and security of said program. In exchange, The United States shall not put pressure on Pakistan to dismantle said program. In other words, The United States shall turn a blind eye as long as they are satisfied that the nuclear program is stable and secure. After A.Q. Khan was caught, Pakistan essentially opened up all their nuclear facilities to American visitors who made sure everything was in order. If Pakistan failed to do that, Pakistan could have faced very serious consequences. (This is one reason why as horrible as Khan’s proliferation efforts may have been, we took no overt action against Pakistan.)