A new poll just released by Rasmussen, has new Republican front-runner, Newt Gingrich leading Obama in a national poll by two points:
The Newt Gingrich surge has moved him to the top of the polls in Iowa, big gains in New Hampshire and now a two-point edge over President Obama in a hypothetical general election match-up.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Gingrich attracting 45% of the vote while President Obama earns support from 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The poll was conducted on the 27th, a day before Cain’s latest bimbo erupted.
Ben Domenech’s analysis of Republican options going forward in the wake of Herman Cain’s implosion is spot on:
Under the first scenario, Newt Gingrich thrives. He laps up Cain’s supporters, who favor him overwhelmingly and distrust Romney to an incredible degree. Caveat that it’s PPP, but these numbers are jarring. http://vlt.tc/tw Gingrich’s favorability is 73/21; Romney’s is 33/55. Overall, “Gingrich’s net favorability is 73 points better with Cain supporters than Romney’s.” This is borne out by just about every other poll out there. http://vlt.tc/u2 And Erick Erickson was asking his Atlanta area Cain-backing listeners and found that three out of four shifting to Gingrich. This could, as Matt Lewis notes, be a huge factor in coalescing anti-Romney support. http://vlt.tc/tx Has anyone else noticed that Romney’s numbers have steadily dropped this month? http://vlt.tc/ty He’s actually averaging closer to 20% now than 25 – the last poll to have him at 25 was in the first week of November. Newt’s moving into a stronger position in New Hampshire now, unlike the other candidates who haven’t taken hold there. http://vlt.tc/ud He’s approaching 40 percent in South Carolina. http://vlt.tc/v0 Romney’s inner circle knows this is dangerous, and it’s why they’re investing so heavily in Iowa now. http://vlt.tc/uc Rather than building a coalition, he’s looking more and more like a candidate with a very firm ceiling, and that means he needs an early knockout blow.
Under this scenario, if Gingrich wins Iowa and runs a strong second in New Hampshire, he will absolutely become the Not Mitt, and probably the nominee. The most amazing comeback in the modern era is fulfilled; Bill Clinton laughs; Dave Carney retires to fish in New Hampshire. The GOP base, disgusted with a field they view as unprepared to be president and unserious about policy, goes to the old guy they’d love to see tell Obama to get his shinebox in the debates. Popular sticker at the 2012 convention: “F— it: NEWT.”
Exactly what happened in my case. Read the rest of his post at The Transom. Like I said - spot on.
RS McCain not counting out Cain, yet, takes into account the credibility of his accusers:
Despite all of the obituaries for the Cain campaign, then, what do we know about the three accusers whose names are public?
- Sharon Bialek twice filed for bankruptcy and the suggestion that she was financial stable because she lived with a wealthy fiancé proved false: He’s unemployed and on the verge of bankruptcy himself and — oh, by the way — he’s not actually her fiancé anymore. Also, Bill Kurtis said Bialek had a “history,” whatever that means.
- Karen Kraushaar filed a “frivolous” complaint against her next employer after getting paid “go away” money by the National Restaurant Association.
- Ginger White, an unemployed twice-divorced single mom who is nine months behind on her rent and made libelous accusations of racism and drug abuse against her ex-business partner.
Everybody keeps saying there’s an awful lot of smoke for there to be no fire, but each of these women has something in her background that tends to taint her credibility. A month into this, and we have no actual proof that Cain did anything wrong.
Weasel Zippers: Allen West: It’s Time For Cain To “Move On”…
(The Hill) — Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) said Wednesday he would advise Herman Cain to let voters “move on” from the distraction of his campaign.
Cain told his campaign this week it is time to “reassess” in light of the resurfacing of old sexual harassment allegations and new accusations this week that he carried on a 13-year affair.