Obama’s just a juggernaut who can’t be stopped. He’s unbeatable. We should just curl up in the fetal position and die because Obama’s “progressive” policies are just so so popular with the American people there’s no way the troglodyte Rethugs can compete… Women are flocking to O because they know Republicans want to take away birth control rights. What can we do? We’re sunk! Whatev— What?
What happens when you switch from a D+4 to a D+11 in measuring Obama’s standing? Suddenly, his job approval goes from 46% to 50% — actually, a rather weak gain given the sampling distortion in the poll. Not coincidentally, the last time Obama hit 50% in this poll was in February, which also had a D+11 sample, after January’s D+7. Adding seven points to the Democratic advantage impacted Obama’s performance in all areas, although perhaps not as much as the editors had hoped:
- Economy — Up six points from 38% to 44%
- International affairs — Down two points from January’s poll, 47% from 49%
- Right/wrong direction – Up three points from January
Now, with a D+11 and Republicans only comprising 23% of the respondents in this poll, one should be seeing huge leads for Obama in the head-to-head matchups. Instead, Obama lead Romney by only eight among general-population adults, 51/43, barely getting into majority territory, and Santorum by ten, 51/41. Among registered voters, Obama leads Romney by seven, 51/44 — in both cases, smaller than the artificial sample advantage of the poll. In fact, adding seven more points to the Democratic advantage only resulted in Obama’s support growing by five points since March, and Romney’s dropped only four in that period. Once again, the numbers are almost exactly like February’s poll, with its matching D+11 sample.
Expect more examples of MSM polls tipping the scales in O’s favor, this year. This is going to keep happening. Our best defense is to laugh at it.
It’s encouraging that more and more people are on to it. Knowledge is power.
MORE excellent analysis of the poll via DeTechGuy:
This tells us several very important things:
1. This poll’s purpose is to deceive:
a…This poll is meant to create the image of success to those who pay no attention to the news who will hear this report only in passing.
b…This poll is meant to create an narrative of success to the far left who will ignore any news source not approved by the left.
c…This poll is meant to convince democratic donors that their contributions are going to a winner.
2. The attempt by the MSM & White House to sell “an economy in recovery” has failed:
a…Even a skewed poll can’t get the president over 50% any issue concerning the economy.
b…No amount of MSM messaging can overcome the reality of the Obama years
c…With the economy a loser the MSM will continue to push every other possible issue on the map.
3. All this talk about the GOP in trouble is false
a…You don’t create a false narrative if you have a true narrative showing you are in good shape.
b…The “War on Women” and Rough GOP primary memes have failed to move voters
c…The actual news is so bad for the president that the media dare not report it.
d…The Media and the Democrats know and understand what the actual situation is and are actively attempting to hide it.
All of this points to a single reality: 2012 is poised to be a disaster for Democrats.
Dick Morris made the same point in commenting on some deceptive polls, last week.